-
Website
http://www.scobleizer.com/ -
Original page
http://scobleizer.com/2007/12/15/surviving-the-2008-recession/ -
Subscribe
All Comments -
Community
-
Top Commenters
-
danja
44 comments · 4 points
-
polizeros
52 comments · 1 points
-
AndyBeard
69 comments · 4 points
-
Zachary Adam Cohen
35 comments · 8 points
-
dbarefoot
40 comments · 3 points
-
-
Popular Threads
-
World-brand-building mistakes France’s entrepreneurs make
2 weeks ago · 181 comments
-
The best and worst thing Twitter did in 2009: RT
3 days ago · 24 comments
-
2010: the year SEO isn’t important anymore
1 week ago · 67 comments
-
iPhone developers abandoning app model for HTML5?
1 week ago · 52 comments
-
A new addition here: the Meebo bar
2 days ago · 8 comments
-
World-brand-building mistakes France’s entrepreneurs make
Gotta keep smiling:)
My biggest issue is my current contract is coming to an end early next year so I am definitely networking at the moment.
Build up your emergency savings. I've heard several people suggest 3 months or so of your monthly expenses.
About Robert's points :
#1 : should those forthcoming hard times push Americans to do business with Europe...
#3 : you don't want to lock in customers ONLY during bad times. It must be the priority number one at any time.
#4 : being in the top 10% doesn't avoid you to be laid-off. I've been thru this during the last downturn after the Bubble' crash, with US-based HP/Agilent Technologies. Been leading the biggest new product launch in the entire history of the company (60 years), been selected to be part of a small task-force aimed at off-shoring the whole business unit, been finally laid-off as 90% of this BU. I was among the the top 10%, however I had to go. Why ? Politics & Networking. I was not good enough on that one.
Hence the lesson : being in the Top 10% also means be in the Top 10% for internal affairs.
#5 : Networking is key, agree 100%. My case : when I left Agilent, my active network was near to zero. All the people I knew were in the same business than me, hence they were in the same situation. Took me 2 years to rebuild a real network with connections OUTSIDE my industry. Lesson : don't stick with your core business, become friend with the people at the grocery store next door.
#10 : move to a safer group within your actual company BEFORE the bad times really start. After, hiring freeze will certainly be the norm.
#13 : get in hot markets, but not Russia. Except if you're ready to throw your cash out of the windows simply to get in the right accounts. Better go to... Middle East (okay American Folks, I know...). Take the Emirates for instance. Way easier to make money there than in Russia. The proof ? Russians go to Dubai.
How different would the economy be if there was no war and the crime rate was as it has been in the early 1990s?
Also, electronics, clothes, furniture and food are the cheapest they have ever been - but rents gas and tuition are immensly high
Therefore the weak dollar makes it much more likely that we are entering a period of growth rather than recession.
Last month inflation rose greater than expected, per the Fed, which means that the economy is growing.
I like most of your thoughts, but when it comes to economics I tend to have an issue.
Good luck with your recession in 2008. I hope you are moving to a job at a bigCo in January!
@searchengines: Yep, utilities and tuition. We have a kid in college and the electric rates where I live haven't dropped much since Katrina. We bought a new, more efficient AC/heating system, have been installing CFL lamps among other measures and our bills keep going up. Oh, I see by the stats on the bills that we're using far less energy, but we're paying more for it.
But hey, the kid is studying video game design. He'll be able to support US one day! ;-)
As for me, I'm grateful for my job in the Coast Guard. The only way we will make cuts if people can't afford to get lost at sea on their yacht, or buy imported cocaine.
He should announce a grand initiative a la Kennedy's "man on the moon" speech or Roosevelts New Deal.
GW should move the country toward energy innovation. Why not set a goal of the US getting 1/2 of its energy from renewable sources?
This could drive the economy for decades, not to mention render middle east politics (and wars) irrelevant.
FYI. People loose jobs even in a booming economy.
If you really want to see our economy take a downturn, just wait until they enact new Kyoto-like restrictions on US businesses for the sake of the "environment" then you'll really see a recession, if not a new depression.
Thanks for the great tips.
Believe me, I don't want to get into a debate over whether or not we're going to have a recession (I don't like circular arguments): plan for one and be pleased if we don't.
However, I will remind you that most companies who take advantage of downturns end up benefiting greatly: Apple and Google both went on hiring and marketing binges during the "bust" and, well...
Another "what if" scenario to consider: We may NOT be heading into a recesssion was the subject of an article in the NY Times yesterday:
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/14/business/14ec...
I'm also not sure an anecdotal observation is proof of a coming recession.
Going back to school can be a good idea. I spent my last couple of years at that large company getting a masters on their dime. I think it paid off for me. I also took a bunch of courses in other "soft skills" like writing and speaking. They also paid off for me.
But to me the best advice is to reduce debt, put money aside, and network like crazy. All the really good jobs I've ever had came from networking.
2. ?
3. Profit
did he force you to live beyond your means? He runs the country, not each of our personal lives.
grow up, get out of debt and stop living beyond your means; no president or govt is responsible for your life on that level!
as for the 'recession' ... um, no. We have near zero unemployment in the US, President Bush actually just cut the deficit in half a few months ago and more than 93% of the homeowners in the this country are paying their mortgages on time.
the ones that bought more than they could afford? too bad; this is called a market correction and they need to go live in cheap apartments til they figure out how the mortgage thingie works.
yes, we do have high gas prices but that's because the Libs wont let us drill for our own oil in our own country; they force us to go to dictators who create instability around them and us with their psychosis.
they also shun nuclear energy and think every American family can fit in a Yugo.
"But there has been so much coverage of the sub-prime crisis that we believe it's already embedded in current market prices. Therefore, other strong fundamentals, when combined with the stimulative effect on markets of the presidential cycle, will outweigh the sub-prime impact and keep the economy out of recession territory."
Many believe that Greenspan overreacted to the fears of the 2000 collapse of civilization theory and influenced the release of too much cash into the economy that, along with the tightening if rates, caused the recession in late 2000 / 2001.
Just my two cents for what it's worth (of course two cents are not worth 2 cents anymore).
If the 10% is in US bonds covering federal debt, then yes, we will have hyperinflation. If they are assets such real estate, companies, etc., then they are part of an exchange where now the money is in circulation and that asset is owned by someone else. Depending on appreciation or depreciation, hyper deflation of the asset could occur as well, which is an even worse scenario. The questions then becomes where is the best market for appreciation, and will the sale make things attractive here for other investors. "Stuff is on sale" idea.
However, Dubai / UAE has just purchase 5% of Citibank and I think that the US remains a place to invest and while the valuation maybe in Euros instead of Dollars, the value of the assets will still appreciate as they continue to demonstrate future value.
That cord of firewood in the shed looks really valuable
this winter. My 401k will be less so. Invest in things with real value. We are hunkering down for tight times up here in Vermont. Done it before. We'll do it again. I feel really sorry for people who don't own land, have the knowledge and skill to feed themselves, or the willingness to work at it. I realize we are atypical.
That's good. We planned it that way 25 years ago.
I'll do it.
Invest as much as possible in the stock market with in the next 2-6 weeks, if you haven't already noticed most stock has dropped drastically. Invest in stock between 10-100 dollars! If you plan on ever investing in the stock market then do it now!
cheers
well all i wanted to say was recesion or no recesion
My retirement fund of about 6 grand which is completly invested in the stock market just lost about 200 dollars because of the drop in share prices. To me thats pretty good evidence of a recesion but hey each mind is its own world.
recession
i don't watch tv, i don't get the paper, i rarely read news online. the feeling is there; whether the statistics support it or not (and generally they have,) something is amiss.
the simple act of having typed recession in to google has provided me with a goldmine of information; some saying we'll stay afloat, others saying we're already going under.
i know of 8 people (one being myself,) in 4 different states who CAN NOT find work.
if we're not heading for/in a recession; then what is it?
We as citizens need to wake up and realize our financial stability is on the brink of cracking. Check out www.recession2008.wordpress.com and watch some of the smartest people in the world debate this issue and talk about the facts hidden from us.
"jobs numbers are wonderful right now and this “awful economy” is a myth being propagated by the media who are intent upon portraying every part of our country as being devastated by our current President and his administration because they believe this will help get liberals elected next November."
LOL - open your eyes. Rusty is one of those corporate puppets that think the media is liberal (even though it's Republican owned) and somehow it's never Bush's fault.
Keep dreaming pal. This is going to be one ugly haul. This was brought on by unchecked greed and poor spending/planning by our leadership. You can't blame this one on Clinton... this is all your baby's mess.
http://stanfaryna.wordpress.com/2008/03/08/2009...
I'm an American that's been working overseas for six years: websites, rich media-online ad production, and software development. It wasn't easy adjusting to the differences in culture, mentality, law, taxes, etc.
Perhaps, there will be a way for non management and management type people to work with ex pats to provide lower cost solutions and services back home in a manner that benefits Americans on both sides of the puddle- without anyone having to pull up roots.
For example, I would be willing to consider teaming up with people stateside who can sell websites that we make over here. Let's call it smart-sourcing. What do you think?
S
Explain your family about cutting cost postponing the purchases. Buy local [always good not affected by weak dollar]
You can also can reduce your expense by using our cashback search engine www.aafter.com [sorry about shameless self promotion - but it is true]
Only people who are suffering are the greedy people who took out to much credit debt.It will fix up mid 2009 and be running again smoothly mid 2010.
My tip;
20.. Read Scobleizer.
Seriously, buy it now! www.oldsouthpublishing.com Once you purchase it, you will get a download link. Great information....check it out
http://www.debtcollectionor.com Recession here we come.
Look in the mirror and be honest with yourself asking "Am I Really Valuable To My Fellowman?" Only God, you and that mirror will know the answer.
God Bless You All